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Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

23.07.2026 22:44
#726 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Zitat
Race 🕊️@multiplanet1
Elon Musk's security team once described what happens when he visits the Gigafactory in Texas unannounced.

He doesn't schedule the visit. He lands, drives to the factory, and walks onto the production floor without telling anyone he's coming. His security team calls it a "flash audit." The managers call it something less polite.

He walks the line. Slowly. Stopping at stations. Watching individual workers perform tasks. Timing processes with his phone. Writing notes. Not speaking to anyone for the first thirty minutes. Just observing.

Then the questions start. And the questions are specific. Not "how's production going." Questions like "why does this weld take 11 seconds when the robot is rated for 7" and "why is there a three-second gap between this station and the next one." Questions that require you to know your process at a level most managers don't because they stopped watching the details months ago.

A former production manager said the unannounced visits are the single biggest driver of excellence at Tesla. Not because of fear. Because everyone knows that at any moment the CEO might appear and ask a question that only the people actually paying attention can answer.

He said Elon doesn't punish people who don't know the answer. He replaces them with people who do. And the speed of that replacement is what keeps everyone paying attention.

Most companies have a CEO who visits the factory once a quarter for a photo. Tesla has a CEO who appears like a ghost on the production floor and knows more about the process than the people running it. That's not management. That's obsession. And the production numbers reflect the difference.
7:30 PM · Jul 23, 2026



https://x.com/multiplanet1/status/2080344692517199970



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

24.07.2026 00:17
#727 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Da von dem Interview seit 3-4 Stunden kurze Ausschnitte und Fetzen im Netz Kursieren:

Zitat
Phil Trubey@PTrubey
I listened to 85 minutes of The Economist’s interview of Elon so you don’t have to. Besides, it’s behind a paywall.

Elon’s predictions: In five years, AI compute will exceed the sum of all human intelligence. In ten years, we will have reached the age of abundance. Money won’t matter. Everyone will have what they need or want (at least in economies that embrace AI).

Ms. Beddoes tried to pin Elon down on how the economy will transform that way, but he wouldn’t get into specifics beyond noting that widespread AI robotics is a deflationary force. This means governments won’t need to raise taxes for universal basic income schemes, or, as Elon likes to call it, universal high income, since they will simply be able to print money to ward off deflation caused by the robot economy.

She noted that Elon appears to have a more sanguine view of AI lately. He replied that he’s concluded superintelligent AI is now inevitable, so there’s no point trying to stop or slow it down, it can’t be done. We might as well enjoy the ride.

The interviewer also noted that Mars no longer seems to be Elon’s overall ambition. He answered that his real mission was always to propagate and preserve human consciousness into the far future. Mars was just a vehicle for that. But now AI is a very important part of that goal. AI will necessarily be part of any future plan.

And then came the oh-so-typical, increasingly tiresome part of most long journalist interviews: the interviewer constructs a straw-man version of Elon and argues against it. Elon carefully explained that he isn’t a raging far-right extremist, racist Nazi who kills puppies … and the journalist still didn't believe it. It is so effing tiresome.

The lack of self-awareness on the part of journalists is off the charts. She complained about Elon’s supposed misperception of how dangerous London is, while remaining oblivious to the role she plays in creating the giant misperception of Elon as a person in her own writing.

Elon defended his political views, saying he is for secure borders, locking up criminals, and balanced government spending, something even she had to admit didn’t sound crazy.

And… that’s about it for an 85-minute interview. I couldn’t help but think that the next long-form interview Elon does should be conducted by an AI.
9:35 PM · Jul 23, 2026


https://x.com/PTrubey/status/2080376355783381132



PS. Hier einer der Ausschnitte.

Zitat
Elon Musk just claims he can see the future and history will prove him right.

"I am very good at predicting the future. I am not perfect, but my success rate is very high for a human being.

This creates something of a Cassandra effect: people do not believe what I say is likely to happen, because I can see the future with a higher probability of success than most people. That includes outcomes that may seem counterintuitive.

I am not saying that I am always right. I certainly am not. But my success rate is very good.

The Cassandra effect is that people do not realize what I am saying will come to pass. It may not happen exactly when I expect it to, but it will happen.

History will deliver the verdict, but I think you will find that very little of what I have said is inaccurate. A large majority of what I have said is accurate and will come to pass, unless the direction changes."
8:07 PM · Jul 23, 2026


https://x.com/Dogetothemoon/status/2080354163712753686



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

24.07.2026 13:53
#728 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Zitat
Max Stirner@ernsterjuenger
Ein paar Gedanken zu dem sensationellen Elon Musk Interview durch Zanny Minton Beddoes, Editor-in-chief des "The Economist".

Die Interviewerin, Harvard-Absolventin, später auch beim IWF tätig und seit Jahren als führende Kraft beim "Economist", ist durchaus sehr gebildet und sicherlich klug. Trotzdem wird sie von Musk mit erstaunlicher Leichtigkeit argumentativ in ihre Einzelteile zerlegt. Wieso ist das so?

Meines Erachtens ist die Erklärung überraschend einfach - Minton Beddoes gehört zu einer "Elite", die sich durch Reden auszeichnet. Durch Reden, durch Schreiben, durch noch mehr Reden, man könnte auch sagen, durch Geschwätz.

Aber sie versteht nicht, dass in der Welt von Elon Musk vollkommen andere, 10 mal härtere Regeln gelten. Geschwätz hält in der Welt von Musk vielleicht ein paar Tage, maximal ein paar Wochen, dann zeigen die Märkte knallhart und rücksichtslos die Realität an, da nutzt das ganze Blabla nichts mehr.

Elon Musk muss sich jeden Tag dieser Realität stellen, er muss jeden Tag konkrete Entscheidungen treffen, die oftmals ganz gravierende Folgen haben. Elon Musk ist ein Macher, und kein Schwätzer. Er muss jeden verdammten Tag liefern.

Schwätzer, und mögen sich auch noch so gebildet sein, kommen da einfach nicht mit, ihr Blabla hat zumeist keine oder nur marginale Konsequenzen. Macht Minton Beddoes einen Fehler, ist es nach ein paar Tagen oder längstens Wochen vergessen, macht Elon Musk einen Fehler, werden Milliardenwerte vernichtet und könnten Tausende ihren Job verlieren.

Doch die Geschwätzverteiler halten sich, genau so wie die Politikerdarstellenden, für die Klügeren und für die Wichtigeren. Gut, dass Elon Musk klar aufzeigt, dass sie es nicht sind.
11:16 AM · Jul 24, 2026


https://x.com/ernsterjuenger/status/2080582852723270070



PS.

Zitat
Arthur MacWaters@ArthurMacwaters
One thing that is actually *underappreciated* about Elon is his humility

He's talking to a reporter who is, by her tone and framing of questions, clearly trying to chide and belittle him

It’s not obvious that the richest man in the world would do any of this.

She is clearly trying to provoke him iwth gotcha soundbites like "do you think about why people loathe you" "do you think what you're doing is good for western democracy"

The tone is clearly "wouldn't you like to apologize for how evil and shameful you've been"

He's taking minutes of his time (idk how to estimate their dollar value) to do submit to this

He keeps responding calmly and genuinely stating what specifically he believes

He is not flexing his own accomplishments, power, or knowledge as anything other than a regular person who refuses to be shamed into conformity

He is clearly trying to engage with her rather on the content of things rather than just "win"

The irony of all of her barbed questions and implied moral superiority is that despite every reason to be the opposite, Elon is actually **more humble** than she is.
3:20 AM · Jul 24, 2026


https://x.com/ArthurMacwaters/status/2080463177545048149



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

24.07.2026 16:37
#729 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Zitat
Emrah Erken 🔥🎺@AtticusJazz
DEI Hire Zanny Minton Beddoes, die sich beim Interview mit @elonmusk bis in die Knochen blamierte, ist nicht nur Chefredakteurin von The Economist, sondern auch eine Mitherausgeberin des woke-linken Propagandablattes DIE ZEIT.
4:31 PM · Jul 24, 2026


https://x.com/AtticusJazz/status/2080662073709597005

Zitat
Susan „Zanny“ Minton Beddoes (* 1967) ist eine britische Journalistin, erste Chefredakteurin von The Economist und Mitherausgeberin der Wochenzeitung Die Zeit.
...
Seit Mai 2017 gehört sie darüber hinaus dem fünfköpfigen Herausgeberrat der Die Zeit an.[1]


https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zanny_Minton_Beddoes



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

24.07.2026 16:59
#730 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Zitat
Race 🕊️@multiplanet1
Elon Musk has admitted that he uses Twitter at 2am because the alternative is lying in silence with his own thoughts.

He told a podcast host that nighttime is when the machinery of distraction shuts off and the things he's been outrunning all day catch up. The losses. The loneliness. The relationships that ended because he chose the factory. The childhood he's never fully processed. All of it arrives at 2am.

His solution is the same solution he's used his entire life. Activity. Movement. Stimulus. Instead of sitting with the discomfort he picks up his phone and engages with 200 million people because an argument with a stranger at 2am is more bearable than quiet.

People think his tweeting is strategy. Some of it is. But the 2am posts, the random memes, the replies to accounts with 12 followers, those aren't strategy. Those are a man who built every company in his portfolio partly to avoid being alone with nothing to do.

He has said this almost directly. That the worst part of any week is a Sunday with nothing scheduled. That the absence of work creates a vacuum that fills with everything he's been avoiding. So he schedules the vacuum out of existence.

The richest man alive is afraid of a quiet room. Not because the room is empty. Because in the quiet room the only voice is his own. And his own voice says things that rockets and stock prices can't drown out.

Most people admire his productivity. The productivity is real. But some of it is fuel and some of it is running. The hardest question isn't how he does so much. It's what he's running from.
3:30 PM · Jul 24, 2026


https://x.com/multiplanet1/status/2080646686725312529



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

26.07.2026 00:24
#731 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Zitat
James E. Thorne@DrJStrategy
Reality Denied

Elon Musk’s interview with The Economist exposed a political absurdity: basic common sense now sounds radical because the elite progressive left has spent years treating reality as a nuisance rather than a guide. Secure borders, safe streets, fiscal restraint, and institutional competence are not fringe positions. They are the minimum requirements of a serious society.

That is why the debate has become so warped. Too much of the progressive left now operates in a post-factual universe, where ideology is treated as evidence and evidence is treated as negotiable. In that environment, ordinary standards of order and accountability are recast as oppression, while failure is excused with slogans.

The same argument would be celebrated as wisdom if Obama made it and denounced as extremism when Trump does.

The result is a public discourse detached from consequences. If you point out that uncontrolled migration strains public services, that crime affects working families first, or that governments cannot borrow and spend forever, you are no longer making a practical argument. You are accused of hostility, ignorance, or worse.

Musk’s real value in this conversation is not that he is universally right. Which he is. It is that he forces the confrontation between reality and rhetoric. And once that confrontation happens, the weakness of the left’s worldview becomes obvious: it can explain feelings, but it cannot reliably explain facts.

The middle of the political spectrum has not become more extreme. The left has simply moved so far from reality that common sense now looks like rebellion.
4:47 AM · Jul 25, 2026


https://x.com/DrJStrategy/status/2080847264407261386



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

26.07.2026 00:59
#732 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Zitat
Elon Musk@elonmusk
Asimov’s Foundation series was a major influence on me.

That and the fall of Rome, from which Foundation takes inspiration, is what convinced me that we need to extend consciousness beyond Earth to avoid a potentially infinite dark age.
12:24 AM · Jul 26, 2026


https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2081143591615742236



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

26.07.2026 18:37
#733 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Noch zum "Economist"-Interview.

Zitat
Krzysztof Szczawinski 🇵🇱@Kristof_Poland
Two Jobs – Two Resolutions

Two people in that interview, two registers talking past each other. She’s operating at electoral-cycle resolution: pin the mechanism, get the caveat, extract the soundbite. He’s operating at systems-thinking resolution: call the sign of the trend, leave the coefficients for later.
Working at two different resolutions, and only one of them being entirely honest about it.

A builder thinks in trends and orders of magnitude. Ask him where costs go in a robotic economy and he’ll give you a direction with real content behind it – falling, structurally, for reasons you can check. Ask him for the fully worked-out tax mechanism and he’ll decline, because at this stage of the technology it doesn’t exist yet, and pretending it does would be the actual dishonesty.

A journalist, by contrast, works in finished categories. Not because the story requires it – because the category is the product.
A journalist’s job is to pin things down into something a reader can hold in one sentence – a label, a number, a plan. That’s how a news story gets written: “Musk supports X,” “Musk is Y.”
“Far-right” isn’t a description arrived at after listening; it’s the shelf the piece gets filed on before the interview even starts. Watch what happens once the label meets an actual answer. He states the platform plainly — secure borders, lock up criminals, balance the budget — and it doesn’t fit the shelf. A resolution built for finding things out updates here. A resolution built for protecting a verdict doesn’t: the label survives contact with the very content that was supposed to justify it, but didn’t, unrevised, filed anyway.
A real resolution mismatch: the label was doing work the actual content couldn’t support.

That’s the tell. Low resolution isn’t a shortcut readers need – most people can hold three sentences of nuance just fine. Low resolution is what you reach for when the goal isn’t describing someone but deciding in advance which bucket they belong in, then running the interview to generate enough raw material to justify the bucket already chosen. The label doesn’t compress the reality. It replaces it.

Same clash runs through the whole interview. She wants the five-year plan for how UBI gets funded. He gives the direction robots are pushing prices in. They just have different defaults for what counts as a real answer.

Which is why the one unscripted moment — when even she has to admit his expectations do not sound crazy — lands as the most damaging line in the whole 85 minutes. Not because it clears him. Because it’s the instant the machinery briefly shows through: the label was never really about what he believes. It was about which shelf the piece needed to land on before a single question got asked.
9:32 PM · Jul 24, 2026


https://x.com/Kristof_Poland/status/2080737933632651400

Zitat
Krzysztof Szczawinski 🇵🇱@Kristof_Poland
We are switching from a world run by those who name things to a world run by those who understand them.
From those who pin (false) labels to those who explain processes and their consequences.

Let’s even forget the dishonesty and the lying for a minute. That shift is even deeper than that.
It is the end of the politician that mass-media democracy produced – the one who trades in soundbites rather than solutions, in appearances rather than results, in the label rather than the mechanism. The system that selected for him was built on a specific bottleneck: the intermediary who controlled what the audience saw. Control the label, control the reality. The politician learned to feed the intermediary. The intermediary learned to feed the audience. The audience learned to consume the label as information.

That bottleneck is gone. The audience can now watch the full interview, hear the actual answers, and see the shelf being chosen in real time. The label doesn’t compress reality anymore. It just reveals the person applying it.

Two resolutions are colliding. The first trades in finished categories – the soundbite, the verdict, the bucket pre-filled before the first question is asked. The "far-right" smear. It is not a shortcut for the reader. It is a tool for whoever decides which shelf things land on. The second explains direction, mechanism, and consequence – gives you what is known, admits what isn’t, and declines to invent certainty where none exists. That refusal is not evasion. It is the higher honesty.

The label merchant is being replaced by the builder who says: here is the direction, here are the reasons, here is what I don’t yet know – and means all three. He is operating at a resolution the label-maker cannot match and the soundbite cannot contain. That higher resolution is winning. Not because it is new. Because it is finally visible.

It is also, finally, the much more honest one.
4:03 PM · Jul 26, 2026

https://x.com/Kristof_Poland/status/2081379864897093885



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

26.07.2026 19:22
#734 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Zitat
Krzysztof Szczawinski 🇵🇱@Kristof_Poland
The Musk Model – The 4 Elements to Succeed

In short: he fully espoused the principles of Western Civilization, where others want to control, and fail.

Meritocracy and individual freedom in the pursuit of a remote, long-term, almost “transcendental” goal – a mission.
That’s how cathedrals were built.

Meritocracy and individual freedom, pointed at a goal so distant and so large it borders on transcendental – not quarterly targets – that’s the same logic that built cathedrals: generations of free craftsmen, each pursuing excellence in their own narrow trade, somehow converging on something none of them could have designed alone.

Most organizations don’t work that way. They try to plan the outcome and then assign people to execute the plan. That’s efficient on paper and brittle in practice, because it depends on a small group of planners knowing more than the dispersed knowledge of everyone they’re directing. Hayek’s old argument: no central authority can aggregate what millions of individual minds know about their own specific problems. So the plan cracks at the edges, and the org spends its energy patching cracks instead of moving forward.

The alternative isn’t “no structure.” It’s structure built around a goal, not around control. State the mission clearly enough and big enough – multiplanetary species, sustainable energy, whatever – and let competent people figure out their own path toward it. You’re not managing their decisions, you’re giving them something worth aiming at on their own. That’s the cathedral model: nobody told the stonemasons how to cut stone, but everyone understood what they were building toward.

This is also why “meritocracy” and “freedom” aren’t just nice words here – they’re load-bearing. A mission that distant only works if the people pursuing it are actually free to find the best path, and actually good enough to find it. Take away the freedom and you get bureaucracy, slow and self-protective. Take away the merit and you get freedom without competence, which just produces noise.

Put those two together with a sufficiently audacious target, and you get something that looks like luck from outside but isn’t. It’s just a different operating system: optimize for the mission, trust the people, stay out of their way. Everyone else is still trying to control the outcome directly, which is the more expensive and slower path even when it feels safer.

But freedom without a coordinating mechanism could just produce chaos – a thousand smart people pulling in a thousand directions.

So what is the thing that coordinates it all?
What holds it together at the scale of the organization, if not a chain of command?

Truth, instead of politics.

Politics coordinates by managing perception: who gets credit, who looks good in the meeting, what story protects whose position. It’s coordination built on appearances, and it’s expensive because appearances have to be maintained even when they drift from reality. Every org that runs on politics eventually pays for that drift – in late rockets, in bad reviews that surface too late, in problems that everyone privately knew about for months before anyone said so out loud.

Truth coordinates differently. If the rocket isn’t ready, the rocket isn’t ready – it doesn’t change based on who’d be embarrassed by it. When the organizing principle is “what’s actually true and what’s actually broken,” every individual’s local knowledge becomes usable by everyone else, instantly, without a manager translating it. Hayek again…

So the full stack looks like this: an audacious mission gives people something worth converging on voluntarily. Meritocracy and freedom let them find their own best path toward it. And truth, ruthlessly enforced over politics, is the medium that lets thousands of independent paths stay coherent without anyone centrally directing them.
You need all four.

So let’s all come back to those principles of Our Civilization! 🏛️🗽

And the future is gonna be Amazing!!!
4:32 PM · Jul 8, 2026


https://x.com/Kristof_Poland/status/2074864249847910619



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

27.07.2026 15:43
#735 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Zitat
Race 🕊️@multiplanet1
Elon Musk was asked by a close friend why he bought Twitter. Not the public answer about free speech. The real answer. The friend expected strategy. What Elon said was simpler and stranger than anyone anticipated.

He said he bought it because it was broken and he couldn't stop thinking about how to fix it. Not as a business opportunity. As a compulsion. He said the platform was so obviously dysfunctional that his brain treated it the same way it treats a rocket that's not flying right. A problem that demanded intervention.

He said he knew the acquisition would lose money. He said he knew the media would attack him. He said he knew his reputation would suffer. He ran the numbers and every rational model said don't buy it. He bought it anyway.

The friend asked if that was irrational. Elon said yes. Then he said something the friend has repeated to multiple people since. He said "every important thing I've done has been irrational. SpaceX was irrational. Tesla was irrational. Neuralink is irrational. If I only did rational things I'd still be a programmer in Silicon Valley with a nice house and no impact."

He said the rational move is always to optimize for personal comfort. The irrational move is to sacrifice comfort for impact. And impact is the only thing he values.

$44 billion for a broken social media platform looks insane from the outside. From inside the mind of a man who physically cannot ignore a broken system, it looks inevitable.

The gap between rational and visionary is always the same. Rational calculates the cost. Visionary calculates the cost of not doing it. The answer is different depending on which calculator you use.
7:30 PM · Jul 26, 2026


https://x.com/multiplanet1/status/2081431857506189713



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

04.08.2026 20:00
#736 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Zitat
Lunar Citizen@LunarCitizens
A wild fact:

Even if Starship’s Ship is never reused and only the Booster is recovered, Starship could still achieve an estimated $350k–550k per ton to LEO.

Falcon 9 is roughly $4.2M per ton at its listed price.

That means Starship could already be 8–12× cheaper per ton than Falcon 9.

And Falcon 9 is already the world’s most economical rocket. 🚀
#starship
5:40 PM · Aug 4, 2026


https://x.com/LunarCitizens/status/2084665861185392998



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

05.08.2026 12:58
#737 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Zitat
Brivael Le Pogam@brivael
Translated from French
In June, I said that SpaceX has the potential to be worth between 30 and 50 trillion dollars in the years to come.

Today, I confirm it. And I'm going to lay out why it's going to happen—and why Elon is going to win everything.

Let's start with what the market thinks it's buying: a rocket box with a telecom tacked on. Wrong. SpaceX is the only organization in the world that runs with zero internal bureaucracy—while mastering external bureaucracy like no one else (FAA, ITAR, government contracts). The moat is double: the inside can't be copied, the outside can't be penetrated.

Why this model matters now: AI is generalizing it. Coase explained why companies carry bureaucracy — coordination is expensive, and middle management is human routers. AI collapses that cost. The flat organization, led by an obsessed founder-engineer, becomes viable at any scale. Elon hand-prototyped the org chart for the next twenty years. With twenty years of operational head start.

Meanwhile, the old playbook dies. Gates and Zuckerberg could capture distribution and delegate product — it worked as long as technology advanced slowly enough to evaluate their delegates. When the frontier moves faster than your understanding, delegation goes blind. That's Meta's AI program in one sentence. Obsession is no longer a virtue. It's a functional requirement.

Now, the number everyone finds insane. 30 to 50 trillion comes from a single mechanism: when the cost of access to orbit drops 100x, demand doesn't grow 100x—it changes nature. No one predicted YouTube by watching bandwidth prices fall. Starlink has already proven the pattern once: a telecom born from a cost curve, now the majority of SpaceX's revenue. Orbital compute is stage two—already $818M in Q1. Then the zero-gravity industry, lunar factories, the disruption of global telecoms, Mars. You don't value a company in existing markets. You value the owner of categories that don't have names yet.

The market prices cash flows. It doesn't know how to price changes in nature — it never has, at any inflection point in history. That's what -47% in six weeks is. The bears read the income statement. They should read the org chart.

At the end of the game, Elon wins everything.

The full thesis:
10:50 AM · Aug 5, 2026


https://x.com/brivael/status/2084925034066255922

https://x.com/brivael/status/2084923936261722221

Zitat
Why SpaceXAI Wins Everything

I. What the market is actually arbitrating

SpaceX just reported its first earnings as a public company, six weeks after the largest IPO in American history. $7.8 billion in Q2 revenue. A $541 million net loss. A stock down nearly half from its June peak — and still trading at 78 times sales, when Nvidia, the most profitable company in tech, trades at 20.

Commentators look at these numbers and scream bubble. They're having the wrong debate.

The real question isn't whether SpaceX is worth $1.4 trillion or $2.6 trillion. The real question is: what is a company worth when it runs on an organizational model that nobody else on Earth knows how to operate?

That question is bigger than SpaceX. It's about how every large company will be run twenty years from now. And it's the one I want to answer here.

II. A level of operation no one has ever seen

Marc Andreessen has watched every founder come through Silicon Valley for thirty years. He says Elon operates at a level he has never seen before.
Take that sentence seriously, and understand what it means concretely.

Building SpaceX or Tesla is not scaling an app. It's creating entire supply chains that didn't exist. Building factories. Mastering metallurgy, propulsion, battery chemistry, embedded software, and mass production — simultaneously. At that scale, decision-making forgives nothing: one architectural mistake on an engine, and you hit the wall three years later with billions burned. There is no pivot when your product is a factory.

Operating at that level requires two things almost no executive combines: a real, physical understanding of the systems you're building — and the ability to decide fast, with no filter between you and technical reality.

I've had the chance to talk with Elon. What struck me wasn't the public persona. It was the awareness. The insatiable curiosity. You can feel a deep, firsthand understanding of what he's building — and a sincere love of the product and the technology. Twenty-five years in, the obsession is intact.

That detail changes everything. We'll come back to it.

III. The model: crushing the hierarchy, not fleeing power

People often say Elon has "eliminated politics" from his companies. That's almost true, and the nuance is worth making — because it makes the model more impressive, not less.
What he eliminated is bureaucracy: layers of management whose job is managing other managers, processes that exist to cover people rather than to produce, meetings where information degrades at every floor. In its place, a crushed hierarchy: the engineer who knows is one conversation away from the CEO, and the internal currency is no longer position but contribution.

Hayek showed this eighty years ago: the knowledge that matters is dispersed, local, embodied in the people who touch reality. The classic corporate pyramid destroys that knowledge on its way up. The Elon model does the opposite: it collapses the distance between knowledge and decision to nearly zero.

And there's a second layer that commentators systematically miss. This model with zero internal bureaucracy coexists with a virtuoso mastery of external bureaucracy. Every Starship launch requires FAA approval. ITAR makes foreign competition legally impossible in his market. The government was the anchor customer that financed the early years. Elon didn't flee the Leviathan — he studied it, then turned it into a moat.

Bastiat again: what is seen — internal efficiency. What is unseen — the domestication of the regulator. The moat is double. That's why it can't be crossed.

IV. Why this becomes the standard: the Coase argument

Here is the core of my thesis, and it rests on a precise mechanism, not a vibe.

Bureaucracy is not a perversion. Coase explained it in 1937: firms exist because coordinating through the market is expensive. And inside the firm, bureaucracy is the price of coordination when trust doesn't scale and information is expensive to move. Middle management is a network of human routers. Expensive, slow, signal-degrading — but until now, indispensable.

AI collapses the cost of coordination. A founder can now see the true state of every system without intermediaries — draft, synthesize, verify, simulate — and multiply his span of control by a factor Coase wouldn't have dared imagine. The flat organization, run by an obsessed founder-engineer, becomes viable at scales that yesterday required ten thousand employees and eight layers of hierarchy.
What Elon achieved through brute force — through abnormal work capacity and mental bandwidth — AI makes structurally accessible. He hand-prototyped the organizational model that technology is about to generalize. That's why his framework becomes the standard: not because we admire it, but because the cost advantage becomes crushing.

One correction, to kill the naive version of this argument: AI doesn't "hate" bureaucracy. Tools don't have preferences. The same models can industrialize red tape — automated compliance, infinite process generation, permanent managerial surveillance. Brussels will use AI to produce more rules, not fewer.

So the real match of the next twenty years is this: builders who use AI to compress coordination, versus planners who use it to expand control. Wherever competition is allowed, the builders win — because at equal coordination cost, an organization made of nothing but decisions and obsession compounds faster than anything alive.

V. The death of management-by-capture

There was an era when you could run a company without loving what you built.

Gates, then Zuckerberg, perfected the play: capture distribution, lock the ecosystem, delegate the product. It worked magnificently — as long as technology moved slowly enough for a CEO to evaluate his delegates' work.

That is the exact mechanism now breaking. When the technological frontier moves faster than your ability to evaluate what you don't understand, delegation goes blind. You can no longer tell the team that executes from the team that tells you a story. You can't arbitrate between two architectures, two research bets, two product visions — because the arbitration requires precisely the understanding you outsourced.

...

We've lived through this before. Nobody predicted YouTube, Netflix, or Zoom by watching the price of a bit fall in the nineties. Analysts extrapolated "more email." The cost collapse didn't amplify existing use cases — it created categories that had no name.

SpaceX has already proven the pattern once. Starlink only exists because launch costs collapsed — and it's now the majority of the group's revenue. A telecom company born from a cost curve.
The second stage is already visible. Since absorbing xAI in February, orbital compute is no longer science fiction: it's a segment that generated $818 million in Q1. Data centers in orbit mean continuous solar, radiative cooling, zero land, zero permits. While Earth fights over gigawatts and building authorizations, orbit offers both — with no neighbors.

Then come the stages the market cannot model: industrial processes in microgravity — alloys impossible under gravity, ZBLAN optical fiber, pharmaceutical crystallization. Lunar factories. The disruption of global telecoms, where Starlink destroys the pricing power of every geographic monopoly. Mars. And on the far horizon, Dyson spheres — not as a forecast, but as a direction: what a civilization does when energy stops being the constraint.




"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

06.08.2026 22:39
#738 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Zitat
Race 🕊️@multiplanet1
A SpaceX recruiter once described what happens when Elon Musk personally interviews a candidate. And it explains why SpaceX has the lowest acceptance rate of any company in aerospace, lower than NASA, lower than Boeing, lower than any defense contractor on earth.

She said the interview doesn't feel like an interview. There's no behavioral questions. No "tell me about a time when." No competency framework. Elon sits across from the candidate and starts asking technical questions at the boundary of the candidate's expertise. Then he pushes past the boundary.

He's not testing whether you know the answer. He's testing what happens when you don't. Does the candidate panic and make something up? Do they freeze? Or do they say "I don't know but here's how I would figure it out" and then reason through it in real time?

She said the candidates who get hired are almost never the ones with the most impressive resumes. They're the ones who reached the edge of their knowledge and kept thinking out loud instead of shutting down. The willingness to sit in not knowingn and work through it publicly is the signal Elon selects for.

She said he rejected a PhD from MIT and hired a self-taught engineer from a state school in the same week. The PhD froze at the edge of his knowledge. The self taught engineer said "I've never solved that specific problem but here's how I'd approach it" and then spent ten minutes reasoning through it while Elon listened.

SpaceX doesn't hire credentials. It hires problem solvers. And the only way to identify a real problem solver is to push them past what they know and watch what happens in the space between knowledge and uncertainty. That space is where rockets get built.
7:30 PM · Aug 6, 2026




https://x.com/multiplanet1/status/2085418123642155353



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

07.08.2026 14:21
#739 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Terafab.

Zitat
Beff (e/acc)@beffjezos·13h
Looks like a synchrotron - Elon going to build free electron laser based EUV machine?
Holy Giga based 😳⚛️🤯

joshua steinman (🇺🇸,🇺🇸)@JoshuaSteinman·19h
Is there a particle accelerator underneath?? x.com/elonmusk/statu…

Elon Musk@elonmusk
FEL FTW
1:28 AM · Aug 7, 2026

GP Q@argosaki·11h
Yup 👍 it’s real ‼️‼️‼️
“FEL FTW” means Free Electron Laser For The Win.
Elon’s reply is about a conceptual night rendering of Terafab (the massive Tesla/SpaceX semiconductor fab planned for Grimes County, Texas).
Context :
1Someone posted a nighttime render of the long, linear Terafab structure (with circular features visible) and asked: “Is there a particle accelerator underneath??”
2Then Beff (@beffjezos) replied that it looks like a synchrotron and added speculation that Elon might just build a free-electron laser (FEL) based EUV light source for the fab.
3Then Elon simply replied: FEL FTW.
What this implies is:

In advanced chip manufacturing, the most critical (and bottleneck) step for the tiniest transistors available at the moment, is extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography.
Today’s commercial systems (from ASML) generate EUV light by blasting tin droplets with high-power lasers (laser-produced plasma / LPP).
According to grok this works but has limits on power, efficiency and cleanliness (tin debris is a problem):
A Free Electron Laser is a very different approach:
•Electrons are accelerated to near light speed in a particle accelerator (linear accelerator or synchrotron-style).
•They are then sent through a series of magnets (undulators) that force them to wiggle and emit extremely bright, coherent, tunable light — including at the exact EUV wavelength needed (13.5 nm).
•Advantages researchers highlight:
much higher average power,
better efficiency,
no tin debris,
and
better scalability for future nodes and higher throughput.
Elon’s short reply is him endorsing the idea that an FEL-based EUV source is the superior path for Terafab’s chip production.

It’s not a full technical announcement with blueprints, but in Elon-speak “FEL FTW” is a clear affirmative signal that this technology is on the table (or already planned) for the project.


https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2085508463740760308

Zitat
phil beisel@pbeisel
FEL = Free-Electron Laser

Is this even possible?

Next-gen EUV light source for chipmaking: a particle accelerator shoots high-speed electrons through magnets, generating ultra-bright, clean EUV light.

At Terafab scale it could sit as a central “light utility,” powering many scanners at once with way more photons and less mess than today’s tin-plasma sources.

Not day-one tech, more like the upgrade path once volume ramps hard.
3:55 AM · Aug 7, 2026


https://x.com/pbeisel/status/2085545377651212626



PS.

Zitat
Beff (e/acc)@beffjezos
I like how Elon casually announces he's going to replace the whole tech tree that the biggest company in Europe relies on as its most in a casual cryptic reply to an anon Twitter moot.
12:27 PM · Aug 7, 2026


https://x.com/beffjezos/status/2085674274103382229

Gemeint ist die oben erwähnte AMSL Holding, die die EUV-Lithographiemaschinen für die Halbleiterproduktion herstellt.



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

07.08.2026 16:24
#740 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Apropos Chips & Daten.

Zitat
Peter H. Diamandis, MD@PeterDiamandis
The U.S. has 2,441 proposed data-center projects scheduled to break ground between 2026 and 2028, representing as much as $2.48 trillion in planned investment. That pipeline is roughly 5 times the cost of building the original Interstate Highway System (inflation-adjusted) — except this infrastructure doesn’t move cars; it moves intelligence.
6:33 PM · Aug 6, 2026

Elon Musk@elonmusk·13h
Wow


https://x.com/PeterDiamandis/status/2085403938279547141



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

07.08.2026 19:54
#741 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Terafab III.

Zitat
Brivael Le Pogam@brivael
People look at the size of Terafab and say, "Wow, that's big."

They haven't understood a thing.

100 million square feet.
Ten Giga Texas.
Fifty Pentagons.
The largest and most valuable building ever constructed on Earth.

It's not a chip factory.
It's a civilization machine.

Stated goal: more than one terawatt of AI compute per year.
Logic + memory + advanced packaging under the same roof.
For billions of Optimus.
For the Cybercab.
And above all, for orbital data centers.

While OpenAI and Anthropic fight over H100 allocations and pray to Nvidia and TSMC,
Elon is building the factory that makes the chips at a scale where the rest of the world hasn't even started dreaming yet.

Some rent GPUs.
The other builds the printing press.

I don't even understand how anyone can still believe they have a chance to compete.

It's no longer a race of models.
It's a race of matter, energy, and silicon volume.

And on that terrain, there is no longer any match.
4:45 PM · Aug 7, 2026


https://x.com/brivael/status/2085739012057121250



PS.

Zitat
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt
I don’t think most people understand the massive scale of investment Tesla & SpaceX are making in Texas right now.

Everything the two companies are/going to build across the state:
• Terafab (Grimes County)
• Gigasat factory (in Bastrop, currently under construction)
• Optimus factory (at Giga Texas, currently under construction)
• Advanced technology fab (at Giga Texas, currently under construction)
• Tesla Project Crystal Sun (big solar cell plant in Fort Bend County. Late 2026 construction start date)
• Expanded Starlink terminal production facility (in Bastrop, currently under construction)
• Further Starbase expansion (in Starbase)
• Tesla Megafactory 3 (in Brookshire, just started prod)
7:25 PM · Aug 7, 2026


https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/2085779483433521498



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

07.08.2026 20:49
#742 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Zitat
Bozwy 🕊️@bozwy
Ein SpaceX-Ingenieur beschrieb einmal, was passiert, wenn Elon Musk einen Fehler in deiner Arbeit findet.

Der Ingenieur hatte eine thermische Analyse für ein Bauteil des Raptor-Triebwerks eingereicht. Das Dokument umfasste achtzig Seiten. Es durchlief die Prüfung von drei leitenden Ingenieuren. Es wurde genehmigt und für die Umsetzung eingeplant.

Zwei Tage später kam um elf Uhr abends eine E-Mail von Elon. Eine einzige Zeile. „Deine Berechnung des Wärmestroms auf Seite vierunddreißig geht von stationären Bedingungen aus, aber der Lastzyklus ist transient. Rechne es neu.“

Der Ingenieur sagte, er habe fünf Minuten lang auf diese E-Mail gestarrt. Nicht weil sie harsch war. Sondern weil sie stimmte. Die Annahme steckte tief in einer Teilberechnung, die keinem der drei prüfenden Ingenieure aufgefallen war. Elon hatte sie gefunden, in einem Dokument, das er gar nicht hätte lesen müssen, auf einer Seite, wo niemand von ihm erwartet hätte, dass er sie um elf Uhr abends an einem Dienstag gegenprüft.

Er sagte, genau solche Momente seien der Grund für die Kultur bei SpaceX. Nicht weil Elon Menschen mit Reden motiviert. Er hält kaum Reden. Die Kultur entsteht, weil jeder Ingenieur weiss, dass jedes eingereichte Dokument Zeile für Zeile von einem Mann gelesen werden könnte, der genau den einen Fehler findet, den alle übersehen haben. Nicht um zu bestrafen. Sondern um zu verhindern, dass der Fehler in die Hardware gelangt. Denn Fehler in Hardware führen zu Explosionen.

Die Angst gilt nicht der Kündigung. Die Angst gilt dem Gedanken, Arbeit einzureichen, die nicht das absolut Beste ist, und dass der CEO eines Sechs-Firmen-Imperiums genau den Fehler findet, den man selbst hätte erkennen müssen. Diese Angst erzeugt bessere Ingenieurskunst als jedes Motivationsposter es je könnte.

👉🏼 Eigentlich unglaublich, nicht?
4:12 PM · Aug 7, 2026



https://x.com/bozwy/status/2085730824620577134



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

07.08.2026 22:42
#743 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Zitat
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt
Tesla is planning to build a $10.1 billion vertically integrated solar cell manufacturing facility in Fort Bend County, Texas, about 40 minutes from Houston, according to a new public application filing.

Tesla is aiming to start construction this year and finish in 2028, with commercial operations starting in Q1 2029.

According to the application, the project would include:
• Wafer Manufacturing Equipment
• Ingot Manufacturing Equipment
• Coating Equipment
• Metallization and Printing Lines
• Cell Testing and QC Equipment
• Automation and Material Handling Systems
• Cleanroom and Production Support Improvements
• Site Infrastructure Improvements
• Chemical Storage and Delivery Systems
• Utility Infrastructure
• Environmental and Safety Systems

Project overview from the filing:
"Tesla is currently evaluating the development of a solar cell manufacturing facility located in Fort Bend County, Texas, within Lamar CISD’s jurisdiction, on the property identified by the parcel IDs listed below.

The proposed facility would be expected to manufacture photovoltaic solar cells and/or assembled solar modules, which are components used to convert sunlight into electricity. Operations at the proposed facility would focus on producing finished photovoltaic products for deployment in utility-scale, commercial, and distributed solar installations.

While specific design parameters may vary, solar manufacturing facilities of this type typically include industrial buildings housing production lines, supporting utilities infrastructure, warehousing for raw materials and finished goods, and related site improvements. The project would plan to be commercially operable in the first quarter of 2029.

In total, the project represents a capital investment of approximately $10.1 billion."
6:33 PM · Aug 7, 2026


https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/2085766216833232961

Zitat
Sawyer Merritt@SawyerMerritt
Tesla is naming its $10.1 billion solar manufacturing facility plan in Texas “Project Crystal Sun.”

• The project would create 9,712 permanent full-time jobs
• Entail a total of ~$10.1B in capital investment
• Total direct and indirect economic impact of the project would generate an estimated ~$6.4B in state and local taxes.
• It is estimated that the State of Texas would increase its GDP by ~$107 billion as a result of the project.
6:51 PM · Aug 7, 2026


https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/2085770828545941831



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

Ulrich Elkmann Offline




Beiträge: 16.207

07.08.2026 22:56
#744 RE: Nebst der Beantwortung der Frage: "Wer ist Elon Musk"? Antworten

Zitat
Race 🕊️@multiplanet1
Elon Musk was once asked by a reporter whether he's afraid of dying.

He said he's not afraid of dying. He's afraid of dying before the thing is done. Not "the mission." Not "the vision." He said "the thing" as if it's a specific object he can see that nobody else can. Like a sculptor describing a shape inside a block of marble that only he knows is there.

He said the fear isn't death. The fear is that the thing inside him that needs to be built will die with him incomplete. And nobody else sees it clearly enough to finish it. Not his engineers. Not his executives. Not his successors. Because the thing isn't a product or a company. It's a specific configuration of the future that exists entirely in his mind and has no documentation that captures it fully.

He compared it to a composer who can hear the entire symphony in his head but has only written down three movements. If he dies before the fourth movement is transcribed the music disappears forever because it only existed inside one consciousness.

The reporter followed up: "What's the fourth movement?"

Elon paused. Then he said: "A self sustaining city on Mars with a million people who don't need Earth to survive." He said it the way someone says their home address. No drama. No aspiration. Just the fact of what the fourth movement is.

Most people are afraid of death because they love life. Elon is afraid of death because he's carrying something he hasn't finished building yet and the weight of it unfinished is heavier than the weight of dying.
7:30 PM · Aug 7, 2026


https://x.com/multiplanet1/status/2085780512027890058



"Les hommes seront toujours fous; et ceux qui croient les guérir sont les plus fous de la bande." - Voltaire

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